Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 79.099633 88.684447 98.458351 109.139261 120.452196 132.048866 144.806113
2025-09-07 65.164820 79.100266 93.914296 110.706960 129.092925 148.501134 170.429236
2025-09-14 56.965845 73.411847 91.435388 112.393852 135.853280 161.086863 190.071675
2025-09-21 49.155142 67.136125 87.419105 111.558742 139.109150 169.223146 204.294063
2025-09-28 41.979516 60.816598 82.681655 109.286193 140.199792 174.482460 214.896473
2025-10-05 39.332094 59.583347 83.593885 113.276556 148.202768 187.321401 233.815567
2025-10-12 36.305965 57.573562 83.332973 115.676284 154.193869 197.740086 249.892459
2025-10-19 32.233688 53.888852 80.759080 115.078456 156.482002 203.756283 260.825913
2025-10-26 28.648127 50.536628 78.357150 114.480946 158.597352 209.433903 271.253238
2025-11-02 26.000262 48.221743 77.092658 115.133066 162.086812 216.620467 283.346786
2025-11-09 23.024354 45.206517 74.739875 114.274342 163.625953 221.418447 292.585978
2025-11-16 20.741167 42.987764 73.287365 114.431410 166.307844 227.495262 303.261060
2025-11-23 18.151836 40.130129 70.867292 113.285948 167.365636 231.655782 311.742025
2025-11-30 16.657961 38.815538 70.463067 114.687808 171.546884 239.541514 324.620640
2025-12-07 15.414749 37.783151 70.372791 116.441539 176.125530 247.877694 338.015656
2025-12-14 13.505225 35.487843 68.381105 115.584107 177.340930 252.087145 346.457808
2025-12-21 11.388617 32.609560 65.393269 113.265766 176.600129 253.836414 351.894236
2025-12-28 11.128229 32.967860 67.127162 117.337623 184.041046 265.612524 369.385141
2026-01-04 10.480732 32.561580 67.689915 119.785870 189.379338 274.800699 383.764381
2026-01-11 9.163148 30.766662 66.078684 119.175998 190.713534 279.016707 392.116270
2026-01-18 7.971856 29.065708 64.517952 118.566428 191.996292 283.132041 400.319026
2026-01-25 7.150748 28.008330 63.896362 119.231709 194.919102 289.268680 410.967896
2026-02-01 6.113109 26.346504 62.232473 118.355646 195.763714 292.776630 418.387990